Latest Lunardi Bracketology

[mike radigan]

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Of Note:

3 MVC teams in:
SIU at 5
Dana's boys @ 8
Mo St @ 9

Only thing of note On The Bubble is Illinois on Next 4 out

 

[Bravesguy]

I seem to recall virtually all these Bracket gurus were wrong on the Valley bids last year.

 

[MacabreMob]

Re: Latest Lunardi Bracketology

Only thing of note On The Bubble is Illinois on Next 4 out

Illinois will get in with at least a 9-7 record in the B10. They will finish at least 21-10 in regular season, I expect at least 1-1 in B10 tourney for a record of at least 22-11. They will finish close to around 40 9if not better) in the RPI. They will have good wins over Bradley, Indiana and Michigan State (and maybe more). They may not like their seed... but I wouldn't want to be the team that draws them.

8)

 

[BUBraves06]

I can't believe Lunardi has the ACC getting seven in. I looked at the teams, and they all have a solid case, but I can't see that league getting seven in this year. Someone's gotta be left out there.

 

[thefish7]

I also can't really believe in Michigan St as an NCAA tourney team this year. They've looked really bad lately (I'd like another shot at them right now hehe).

 

[That Guy]

I seem to recall virtually all these Bracket gurus were wrong on the Valley bids last year.

Actually Lunardi is historically very accurate in predicting the field. Last year, he correctly predicted 63 of the 65 teams in the tourney. The two years before that, he only missed one team.

 

[amckillip]

To be honest though, I'd say most of us could come pretty close, With really only about 5-6 spots being up for determination when he releases his finaly bracketology, it's not too difficult.

 

[TheAsianSensation]

To be honest though, I'd say most of us could come pretty close, With really only about 5-6 spots being up for determination when he releases his finaly bracketology, it's not too difficult.

It isn't difficult before the final 3-4 spots. Getting those are the key. Nobody, and I mean nobody, got AFA or USU last year. So pretty much everyone of note (me included ) went 63 of 65.

The real trick is seeding.

 

[amckillip]

The real trick is seeding.

Exactly!

 

[BUBraves06]

Here's the latest "Drive to 65" where the teams are broken down. http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch?id=42

What they have to say about BU: Bradley [15-9 (7-6), RPI: 49, SOS: 30] Can't really afford to keep splitting games at this point, but schedule down the stretch affords a nice opportunity for the Braves to get to 10-8 (or better) in the Valley, and they get a great BracketBusters chance at CAA-leading VCU. If they can upset SIU on the road Wednesday night, it would be a huge boost. Right now, the season-opening 20-point W over DePaul is losing steam and the Braves lost by 29 at Michigan State.

 

[MacabreMob]

Here's the latest "Drive to 65" where the teams are broken down. http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch?id=42

What they have to say about BU: Bradley [15-9 (7-6), RPI: 49, SOS: 30] Can't really afford to keep splitting games at this point, but schedule down the stretch affords a nice opportunity for the Braves to get to 10-8 (or better) in the Valley, and they get a great BracketBusters chance at CAA-leading VCU. If they can upset SIU on the road Wednesday night, it would be a huge boost. Right now, the season-opening 20-point W over DePaul is losing steam and the Braves lost by 29 at Michigan State.

I love how the media gets to report only what they want to report.

Providence - lost by 30 vs Florida St (plus by 10 at home to Brown), no mention of it

Here's what they say:
"Good effort at Marquette almost was wiped out by a near collapse against Cincy, but the Friars held on. They could very well lose the next two (at Pitt, at ND) to drop under .500, and while the last five are all winnable, having the pressure of getting at least four to get to 9-7 means an upset in the next two would be huge."


Purdue - lost at Indiana by 27, no mention of it

Here's what they say:
"Beat Penn State to stay in contention. If the Boilermakers can somehow get through the next four (Michigan St., at Ohio State, Indiana, at Iowa) with at least a split, the last three are home-and-home with Northwestern wrapped around a home game with Minnesota. 9-7 would be in reach, and so would an NCAA berth."

 

[BradleyBrave]

Here's the latest "Drive to 65" where the teams are broken down. http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch?id=42

What they have to say about BU: Bradley [15-9 (7-6), RPI: 49, SOS: 30] Can't really afford to keep splitting games at this point, but schedule down the stretch affords a nice opportunity for the Braves to get to 10-8 (or better) in the Valley, and they get a great BracketBusters chance at CAA-leading VCU. If they can upset SIU on the road Wednesday night, it would be a huge boost. Right now, the season-opening 20-point W over DePaul is losing steam and the Braves lost by 29 at Michigan State.

I love how the media gets to report only what they want to report.

Providence - lost by 30 vs Florida St (plus by 10 at home to Brown), no mention of it

Here's what they say:
"Good effort at Marquette almost was wiped out by a near collapse against Cincy, but the Friars held on. They could very well lose the next two (at Pitt, at ND) to drop under .500, and while the last five are all winnable, having the pressure of getting at least four to get to 9-7 means an upset in the next two would be huge."


Purdue - lost at Indiana by 27, no mention of it

Here's what they say:
"Beat Penn State to stay in contention. If the Boilermakers can somehow get through the next four (Michigan St., at Ohio State, Indiana, at Iowa) with at least a split, the last three are home-and-home with Northwestern wrapped around a home game with Minnesota. 9-7 would be in reach, and so would an NCAA berth."

Thankfully ESPN isn't the selection committee. Road losses like BU's at Michigan St usually don't hold as much weight as say, a February loss at Evansville or a loss to Indiana St at home. ESPN can point to that Michigan St game all they want, but it's not what is going to keep us out of the tournament. Neither is the Tennessee Tech loss. Getting swept by MSU and CU will have greater bearing than either of those non-conference losses.