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Is there any hope?

I

IlliBraves

New member
I think there still could be a small glimmer of hope to make the NCAA tournament. We SHOULD have won this game, although the committee is not going to give credit for "almost wins". However, the following teams NEED to win their conference tournaments to help us out.

Winthrop-Already won Big South Title
Gonzaga
Davidson
Butler
Nevada
Memphis

The following conferences are going to screw us with possible multiple bids:

Atlantic 10 (Xavier, UMASS)
Mountain West (Air Force, UNLV, BYU)
CAA Not sure here, but could be multiple bids (Drexel, VCU, Hofstra)

The following bubble teams need to start LOSING
Kansas State
Purdue
Michigan
Probably a few other majors.

The rest of our non-conference opponents (Especially Depaul) need to keep winning.
 
VCU did beat Georgia State today, 73-60
DePaul defeated South Florida, 70-54


Purdue beat Northwestern, 73-50
Kansas State beat Oklahoma 72-61
 
There's always hope, but everything now is certainly out of Bradley's hands. Funny, but BU played a much better game today against a better SIU team than the two teams that met in the final last year. I thought the 2006 title game was a bad showcase for Bradley AND MVC basketball, and look what happened to the Braves and our conference!

If we rise any in the RPI during the next week, it would be like winning the lottery without buying a ticket.

Perhaps the selection committee will adopt a "chicks dig the 3-ball" attitude and take the Braves for the excitement they can generate.
 
Well one things for sure, MO State certainly didn't help themselves today. Creighton in control the whole game. At least Bradley showed they can keep up with a top notch team on back to back nights.

Jason
 
What do you think Davidson's chances are of making an at-large bid? If they have any chances, we need them to beat Charleston right now for the SoCon title.
 
IlliBraves said:
What do you think Davidson's chances are of making an at-large bid? If they have any chances, we need them to beat Charleston right now for the SoCon title.
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A moot point now as Davidson wins 72-65! Just for kicks though the ESPN announcers thought they would have deserve dan at-large bid, but with Davidson's best wins against Charlotte, Arizona St and Ohio, I don't think would have deserved one. BUT, with 28 wins, they would have been an interesting case!

BTW, Butler just gets by Loyola-Chicago today, 67-66 in overtime! That would have been a disaster had they lost today, because I don't think Wright St or Loyola are at-large worthy. So definately root for Butler tomorrow, preferrably against Wisc. Green Bay, which would elimate Wright St with a win tonight.
 
IlliBraves said:
If VCU wins the CAA, maybe that gives us a good chance? That will probably eliminate Hofstra and Drexel, too.
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Hofstra may lose tonight because they face George Mason, a team that has greatly underachieved this year, but will not go down with a fight. Hofstra is probably the weakest of the four CAA candidates, so a loss tonight most likely eliminates them from at-large contention.

Drexel and Old Dominion have already won today, and have made the conference semifinals. Let's hope one or both lost tomorrow, because they both have great credentials.
 
BTID said:
There's always hope, but everything now is certainly out of Bradley's hands. Funny, but BU played a much better game today against a better SIU team than the two teams that met in the final last year. I thought the 2006 title game was a bad showcase for Bradley AND MVC basketball, and look what happened to the Braves and our conference!

If we rise any in the RPI during the next week, it would be like winning the lottery without buying a ticket.

Perhaps the selection committee will adopt a "chicks dig the 3-ball" attitude and take the Braves for the excitement they can generate.
Click to expand...

If Bradley does make it, it will be based on conference rankings. Yes we've heard the obligatory "conference performance doesn't matter, but team performance does" argument so many times this year that it doesn't even phase me anymore! BUT, we all know perfectly well that playing in a good conference elevates everyone's schedule strength. And we also know that the selection committee chairman last year told ESPN's Andy Katz that the Mountain West Conference received a second bid based on the fact that they were the number eight conference. Therefore, a top five finish may just give the Valley that fourth bid.
 
ESPN seems to be marginalizing the Valley again. "Much to the delight of bubble teams everywhere the two valley teams we were sure would get in our playing for the title". Dont seem to think or wont anyone else from the conference will make it.
 
Fetz86 said:
ESPN seems to be marginalizing the Valley again. "Much to the delight of bubble teams everywhere the two valley teams we were sure would get in our playing for the title". Dont seem to think or wont anyone else from the conference will make it.
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As I have said many times before, there is no way that the number five ranked conference (or even number six or seven) will not get at least three teams in. Whether Bradley could be a fourth is anyone's guess. But three is a given. Book it! :D
 
Have to remember too that the committee takes into account that Croutch was hurt. They are getting better and better in taking into account hurt players and perhaps the impact they might have had. The game against VCU, on national television, Croutch did unreal and helped out a lot more than people think
 
VCU won today. Is this good or bad? The good news, VCU winning boosts our RPI. The bad news, they beat Drexel, which could give the CAA another at-large bid.
 
IlliBraves said:
VCU won today. Is this good or bad? The good news, VCU winning boosts our RPI. The bad news, they beat Drexel, which could give the CAA another at-large bid.
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I think VCU knocked Drexel out.

According to JPalm at collegerpi.com...

- Drexel was IN his Fri Bracket Projection Friday (and he will update it tomorrow).

(prior to today's loss to VCU in Richmond)

RPI: 42
SOS: 104
vs Top50: 3-2
vs 51-100: 4-3
vs 101-200: 8-2
vs 201 +: 7-0


- Palm has 21 teams named as "Fence Sitters" to fill 14 spots (in his opinion) with Drexel amongst the 21.

--- Fence Sitter Breakdown: Won 7 of 8, road record of 13-4, Wins at Nova, Creighton and Syracuse; but, Lost at Rider (200 RPI) and at William & Mary (198).

Comment - The Dragons took care of Northeastern and now face VCU in what might be an elimination game in the CAA semis.
 
IlliBraves said:
VCU won today. Is this good or bad? The good news, VCU winning boosts our RPI. The bad news, they beat Drexel, which could give the CAA another at-large bid.
Click to expand...

RealtimeRPI has us listed at 39... I think when I checked this morning, we were at 44.

This is going to be a very very very long week.
 
IlliBraves said:
The bad news, they beat Drexel, which could give the CAA another at-large bid.
Click to expand...

Btw, Palm had 3 Colonial teams IN his bracket for the past week.

We'll see what he thinks tomorrow.
 
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