And all of those teams you list play in top conferences and have much greater exposure and name recognition. They are not playing the drakes of the world(though Iowa this year would qualify

) The WCU loss is too much to overcome unless we finish 1 or 2 in conference and 14-4. That coupled with 8-3 non con and at least 1 win in STL, would put us at 23-8 and squarely on the bubble. Get to the title game and I think 24 would be enough to merit at-large. That's a lot to ask of a team that hasn't finished better than 12-6 in Les's tenure. Also, don't forget the incredibly shrinking number of mids invited to the Dance(4 last year), and a considerably weaker valley with only 3 noteable non-con wins so far(ILL,Tulsa, BC) and that spells even further doom.