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Standings after 16 games

Da Coach

Moderator
Staff member
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MVC RPI's

MVC RPI's

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With 2 games left, Bradley still could finish as high as the #3 seed. They would win the tiebreaker with Drake if the two are tied for 3rd. [edit: this is not correct. The highest seed possible for Bradley is the #4 seed- see the #10 post below] or as low as the #7 seed (there is a small possibility they could lose a tiebreaker with Evansville if they tied for 6th), but 7th is highly improbable. So by far, the most likely possibilities are the 4th, 5th, or 6th seed.

If they finish with the #4 or #5 seed, they will play at 2:30 PM on Friday afternoon, March 2nd, in Session 2 of the MVC Tournament
If they finish with the #6 seed, they will play at 8:30 PM on Friday night, March 2nd, in Session 3 of the MVC Tournament

MVC Tournament Bracket
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largely because a team ahead of us in the standings left and was replaced by a team that will finish behind us - pushing us up to 6-seed
 
we are definitely better, winning most home games, occasional road games, and both offense & defense stats that are well above the basement teams...
but as others have said - the kids logging minutes now are 2-3 years in and are very experienced like seniors --
 
With 2 games left, Bradley still could finish as high as the #3 seed. They would win the tiebreaker with Drake if the two are tied for 3rd...



Well, it looks like you are correct. I stand corrected. If it was a 2-way tie with Drake, Drake would win the tiebreaker due to winning both head to head games.
However, it gets a bit complicated, since it does not look like a 2-way with Drake tie can happen. The only way Bradley could tie for 3rd is if they win their last 2 games to finish 10-8, Drake loses their last 2 games to drop to 10-8, and ISU goes 1-1 (since ISU would have to beat Drake on Wednesday for Drake to fall to 10-8 ). But that would create a 3-way tie for 3rd, and if there's a 3-way tie for 3rd, the first tiebreaker is:
...regular-season competition among the tied schools shall be pooled into a “mini round-robin.” Teams shall be ranked according to their position in such a round- robin.

Since Drake beat Bradley twice and would have a split with ISU, Drake would have a 3-1 record in this tiebreaker round robin. If ISU wins Wednesday, they will have split with both teams for a 2-2 record, and Bradley would have a 1-3 record against DU & ISU. So Drake would get the #3 seed in that scenario, ISU the #4 seed, and Bradley the #5 seed. So even though Bradley could tie for 3rd, if they did, they would still not get the #3 seed, and would drop to the #5 seed. (I have added an edit to my post above)

The best Bradley can do is hope Drake and Loyola both beat ISU, and Bradley can grab the #4 seed by winning their last 2.
 
Well, it looks like you are correct. I stand corrected. If it was a 2-way tie with Drake, Drake would win the tiebreaker due to winning both head to head games.
However, it gets a bit complicated, since it does not look like a 2-way with Drake tie can happen. The only way Bradley could tie for 3rd is if they win their last 2 games to finish 10-8, Drake loses their last 2 games to drop to 10-8, and ISU goes 1-1 (since ISU would have to beat Drake on Wednesday for Drake to fall to 10-8 ). But that would create a 3-way tie for 3rd, and if there's a 3-way tie for 3rd, the first tiebreaker is:
...regular-season competition among the tied schools shall be pooled into a “mini round-robin.” Teams shall be ranked according to their position in such a round- robin.

Since Drake beat Bradley twice and would have a split with ISU, Drake would have a 3-1 record in this tiebreaker round robin. If ISU wins Wednesday, they will have split with both teams for a 2-2 record, and Bradley would have a 1-3 record against DU & ISU. So Drake would get the #3 seed in that scenario, ISU the #4 seed, and Bradley the #5 seed. So even though Bradley could tie for 3rd, if they did, they would still not get the #3 seed, and would drop to the #5 seed. (I have added an edit to my post above)

The best Bradley can do is hope Drake and Loyola both beat ISU, and Bradley can grab the #4 seed by winning their last 2.

I wish I could see the Braves winning in Springfield on Wednesday night but they just can't be trusted on the road. 9-9 sounds about right finishing with a home win for Donte against Indiana St. That 4/5 ISU/Bradley match-up is looking more and more likely on Friday in St. Louis... And I'm not sure that I like it :eek: JL would be proud.
 
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