So basically next year scheduling any of these teams may help us
- Siena
- Niagara
- Rider
- Western Kentucky
- South Alabama
- Oral Roberts
- IUPUI
- Xavier
- Portland State
- Belmont
- Winthrop
- Kent State
- UNC-Asheville
- Akron
- Cal State Northridge
- Morgan State
- BYU
- UNLV
- Appalachian State
- Davidson
- Robert Morris
- Stephen F. Austin
- Austin Peay
- Alabama State
- Utah State
- Boise State
- Cleveland State
- Wright State
My only problem here is that its a real crap shoot looking at teams from low majors and figuring out if they're going to catch lightning in a bottle twice...the only sure bet is if they have most or all of their starters returning...and even then you can't really predict success
You're right. . .it's not quite that simple to pick out conference champs...most coaches do have a good idea of who the good teams are and will be. The key is to play GOOD TEAMS FROM GOOD LEAGUES.
In other words, simply playing the MEAC or OVC champ still may not be much help if that's exclusively who you schedule. A 17 or 18 win A10 team may still be preferable than a 23-win team from a league where no one else even reaches .500.
You know leagues like the CAA, Southern, Southland, MAC, MAAC, WCC, and Sun Belt will likely have a few solid clubs with winning records. Naturally, those teams will likely be in contention for conference championships. Those are the key teams you need to look at.
An interesting case this year could be made against the WAC. The league's three bottom teams were among the worst in the nation this year. But the league's top 4 teams were all very solid.
An occasional team like Austin Peay on a schedule is ok. . .but if you play Austin Peay, Morgan State, and Alabama State, your SOS will still not be very good and you're RPI won't necessarily reflect the fact the individual teams are good.
This is where the BCS teams get into trouble and mid-majors hit a wall. The BCS teams generally won't play away from home, and generally speaking only the MEACs, SWACs and the likes will take the straight buy games. So they limit themselves.
The mid-majors can make a good offer to the BCS-type programs, but few of them bite.