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TAS Bracketology 2/28

TheAsianSensation said:
This year, I hope all these guys tank because there's room for them, and I want to see some of these nebulous candidates out.
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I'm with ya. But it is also why I think there won't be any bubble-bursting from these 9 teams. It'll help align the stars just right and this tourney will probably break a record for the worst RPI team awarded an At-Large bid. :twisted:

Historically:

NEW RPI (used since 2005 giving more weight to road and neutral games) - The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids are #62 Arizona (2009), #62 Iowa St and #63 NC State (2005), #63 Stanford (2007).

OLD RPI - The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids are #74 New Mexico (1999) and #70 Air Force (2004)
 
MacabreMob said:
I'm with ya. But it is also why I think there won't be any bubble-bursting from these 9 teams. It'll help align the stars just right and this tourney will probably break a record for the worst RPI team awarded an At-Large bid. :twisted:

Historically:

NEW RPI (used since 2005 giving more weight to road and neutral games) - The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids are #62 Arizona (2009), #62 Iowa St and #63 NC State (2005), #63 Stanford (2007).

OLD RPI - The lowest rated teams to get at-large bids are #74 New Mexico (1999) and #70 Air Force (2004)
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Illinois will get into the 60's, by the way. Your wish may not come through :twisted:
 
Promote to lock:
Virginia Tech
Louisville

Next 4 in:
Old Dominion*
UTEP*
Utah St*
San Diego St
Notre Dame
Illinois
Georgia Tech

Last 4 in:
St Mary's
Siena*
Florida
Arizona St
Memphis

Last 4 out:
UAB
Kent St*
Wichita St
Rhode Island
St Louis

Next 4 out:
Dayton
Mississippi St
Mississippi
Washington

On the board yet (in order):
South Florida
Connecticut
Seton Hall
Charlotte
Minnesota
William & Mary




I hate it because I end up copying Lunardi, but look at it. Who the **** am I supposed to put in there? Memphis has UAB trumped in H2H. Wichita St? Hah. URI is self-sabotaging itself, St Louis is directly ahead of Bradley in the RPI, Dayton is losing everywhere, both Mississippi schools don't know the meaning of "quality win", Washington doesn't know the meaning of "road win", UConn is, well, UConn....South Florida back in play with their terrible non-con? Minnesota???

I mean, that last slot will disappear, someone somewhere will take it, but for now, give it the team that's acted like they feel like getting it. I guess. I have no idea. And I had to let in Arizona St too! Compared to those 2, Florida feels like a mortal lock at this point.
 
Promote to lock:
UTEP

Next 4 in:
Old Dominion*
Utah St*
San Diego St
Notre Dame
Georgia Tech
St Mary's

Last 4 in:
Siena*
Florida
Illinois
Arizona St
Memphis

Last 4 out:
UAB
Kent St*
Rhode Island
St Louis
Dayton

Next 4 out:
Mississippi St
Mississippi
Wichita St
Washington

On the board yet (in order):
South Florida
Connecticut
Seton Hall
Charlotte
Minnesota
William & Mary
 
Maryland in my book is now a 3-4 seed after beating Duke and VA and locking up a tie on the top of the ACC. They have played real well the last 2 months. Duke being Duke may get a number 1 seed but I see the 1 seeds as KU, KY, SU and an emerging Ohio State. Duke's road record is not great.
 
My only problem with Maryland as a 3 is they need to be in the top 12 for that...

These teams I can't see putting Maryland ahead of:
Kansas
Syracuse
Kentucky
Dook
Villanova
West Virginia
Ohio St
Kansas St
New Mexico
Purdue

And of who's left...Tennessee I'd have ahead slightly (2 very quality high-end wins), Temple I'd have ahead slightly (committee has shown to reward conference champs well), Pittsburgh is right there, Michigan St, BYU, Vandy are 3 teams in the same area as Maryland.

If they win the ACCT I can buy the argument, though. Just don't see it as of today, though.

However, I may or may not be biased against Gary Williams :)
 
1) Kansas (29-2), Kentucky (29-2), Syracuse (28-3), Duke (26-5)
2) West Virginia (24-6), Kansas St (23-6), Ohio St (24-7), Purdue (26-4)
3) New Mexico (28-3), Villanova (24-6), Tennessee (23-7), Pittsburgh (24-7)
4) Temple (26-5), Michigan St (24-7), Vanderbilt (22-7), Wisconsin (23-7)
5) Georgetown (20-9), Maryland (22-7), BYU (27-4), Xavier (23-7)
6) Baylor (23-6), Butler (27-4), Northern Iowa (28-4), Richmond (24-7)
7) Gonzaga (25-6), Texas A&M (21-8 ), Texas (23-8 ), California (21-9)
8 )Missouri (22-9), Louisville (20-11), Old Dominion (26-8 ), Clemson (21-9)
9) Wake Forest (19-9), Florida St (22-8 ), UTEP (24-5), Oklahoma St (21-9)
10) UNLV (22-7), St Mary's (25-5), Cornell (25-4), Marquette (20-10)
11) Siena (27-6), Virginia Tech (23-7), Utah St (24-6), San Diego St (20-8 )
12) Notre Dame (21-10), Georgia Tech (18-11), Florida (20-11), Illinois (18-13)
13) Arizona St (22-9), Memphis (23-8 ), Kent St (22-8 ), Murray St (28-4)
14) Oakland (23-8 ), Wofford (25-8 ), Weber St (17-9), Sam Houston St (18-7)
15) UC-Santa Barbara (17-9), North Texas (20-8 ), Vermont (24-9), Morgan St (24-9)
16) Quinnipiac (23-8 ), Lehigh (21-10), East Tennessee St (19-14), Winthrop (17-13), Jackson St (18-11)

Next 3 in:
Utah St*
San Diego St
Notre Dame
Georgia Tech

Last 4 in:
Florida
Illinois
Arizona St
Memphis

Last 4 out:
UAB
Kent St*
Rhode Island
St Louis
Dayton

Next 4 out:
Mississippi St
Mississippi
Wichita St
Washington

On the board yet (in order):
South Florida
Seton Hall
Minnesota


Not buying as hard on Seton Hall as others are. I think it'll take 2 wins, not 1. And St Louis is at least on the board, although I admittedly have them inflated rather high.
 
NIT

1) Seton Hall (18-11), Washington (21-9), Mississippi St (21-10), Minnesota (18-12)
2) Rhode Island (21-8 ), Dayton (19-11), Mississippi (21-9), UAB (23-7)
3) South Florida (19-11), Connecticut (17-14), Wichita St (24-9), William & Mary (21-10
4) St Louis (19-10), Charlotte (19-11), Northeastern (20-12), Arizona (16-14)
5) Northwestern (19-12), Cincinnati (16-14), Illinois St (22-10, VCU (22-9)
6) Tulsa (20-10), New Mexico St (18-11), Marshall (20-8 ), Wright St (20-11)
7) Fairfield (22-10), Portland (19-10), Nevada (18-11), North Carolina (16-15)
8 )Coastal Carolina (24-6), Troy (17-11), Stony Brook (21-9), Jacksonville (19-12)
 
If BU had beaten Western Carolina, Loyola, and SIU at home, that would put our record at 19-12. TAS, do you think that would have given us a shot at the NIT?
 
Rusty 54 said:
If BU had beaten Western Carolina, Loyola, and SIU at home, that would put our record at 19-12. TAS, do you think that would have given us a shot at the NIT?
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Pretty much, yes. Any combination of 3 of the 5 home games we lost and I think that's enough to put us in, albeit at a poor seed.
 
Per Andy Katz, Creighton has accepted a CIT bid. No link or information yet, but I assume with the early deal that the Jays are going to host in some capacity.
 
It's kinda of funny I skip everyone elses post but TAS' regarding bracketology because he makes a ton of sense. Sorry MM you come in 2nd when it comes to bracketology. I know I have to many teams I either favor or do not like and could never be impartial. Keep up the good work TAS!;-):)
 
SFP said:
It's kinda of funny I skip everyone elses post but TAS' regarding bracketology because he makes a ton of sense. Sorry MM you come in 2nd when it comes to bracketology. I know I have to many teams I either favor or do not like and could never be impartial. Keep up the good work TAS!;-):)
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You didn't hurt my feelings. TAS does a bang-up job and love his input (all the time).

I don't try to be a bracketologist - but I do try to bring a sensible point of view and argument to the discussion.
 
TheAsianSensation said:
Per Andy Katz, Creighton has accepted a CIT bid. No link or information yet, but I assume with the early deal that the Jays are going to host in some capacity.
Click to expand...

Here is the official story-
http://creighton.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1061800

It says-
..... the Jays have accepted a bid to the CollegeInsider.com Tournament and will play their first game on Tuesday at the Civic Auditorium at 7:05 p.m.

As was mentioned before, the Qwest Center, where Creighton has played all their home games since 2003, is occupied for the necessary dates of the CIT. Thus the game will be hosted by Creighton in the Omaha Civic Auditorium. That is where Creighton played their games prior to 2003.
http://creighton.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=1060011
 
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